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Vila Nova vs Avai Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie BSun, 17 May 2026

Vila Nova

WDWDL

Sun, 17 May 202622:00

2 : 0

Full time

Avai

LWWDL

Pre-match win probability

43.4%Vila Nova29.2%Draw27.4%Avai

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Vila Nova

Vila Nova vs Avai listed tip from the board.

Odds1.28
Confidence43.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Vila Nova 43.4%
  • Draw 29.2%
  • Avai 27.4%

Season statistics

Serie B · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Vila NovaAvai
Goals scored (avg)
1.30.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.11.4

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Vila Nova5W 3D 2L in last 10
  • 24 OctSão Bernardo3 – 2Vila NovaL
  • 18 OctVila Nova2 – 2NovorizontinoD
  • 11 OctNautico Recife0 – 2Vila NovaW
  • 8 OctVila Nova0 – 0CuiabaD
  • 3 OctBotafogo SP0 – 1Vila NovaW
Avai2W 2D 6L in last 10
  • 24 OctAvai0 – 2Botafogo SPL
  • 18 OctAvai0 – 0Athletic ClubD
  • 11 OctCuiaba0 – 1AvaiW
  • 7 OctAvai2 – 1LondrinaW
  • 3 OctAvai0 – 1CearaL
H2H
Head to headVila Nova 3W · 5D · Avai 1W · 2.4 goals a game
  • 15 SeptAvai1 – 1Vila Nova
  • 9 NovVila Nova2 – 2Avai
  • 19 JulAvai1 – 1Vila Nova
  • 26 OctAvai3 – 0Vila Nova
  • 14 JulVila Nova2 – 1Avai
  • 12 AugVila Nova1 – 1Avai

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals17.8% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.5% · 2.0513.5% · 1.75
3.5 goals6.8% · 3.518.5% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X57.5%
X242.5%

Match result

Vila Nova2.15
Draw3.2
Avai3.4

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance57.5%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance42.5%
Odds1.73

Vila Nova

Chance43.4%
Odds2.15

Draw

Chance29.2%
Odds3.2

Avai

Chance27.4%
Odds3.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.28

Vila NovaAvai
Recent form69%31%
Attack68%32%
Defence54%46%
Goals model68%32%
Head-to-head61%39%
Overall61%39%

Trends

Trend · Serie B

Vila Nova scored 1.3 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie B

Vila Nova conceded 1.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie B

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · Serie B

Kept a clean sheet in 6 of those 10.

Vila Nova vs Avai: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie B · Sun, 17 May 2026

Vila Nova meet Avai in the Brazil, Serie B on 17 May 2026 at 22:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Vila Nova at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Vila Nova vs Avai FAQs

4 questions

What time is Vila Nova vs Avai?

Kickoff is 22:00 on 17 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Vila Nova vs Avai?

Vila Nova is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.