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Wales vs Denmark Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Nations LeagueSun, 4 Oct 2026

Wales

WLLLD

Sun, 4 Oct 202619:45

0 : 1

Full time

Denmark

LWLWD

Pre-match win probability

25.8%Wales26.5%Draw47.7%Denmark

Our prediction

X2 · Wales

Wales vs Denmark listed tip from the board.

Odds1.25
Confidence47.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Wales 25.8%
  • Draw 26.5%
  • Denmark 47.7%

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · highlighted side is stronger

WalesDenmark

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals13.1% · 1.811.8% · 2
3.5 goals7.9% · 317.4% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X41%
X259%

Match result

Wales3.7
Draw3.6
Denmark2

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance41%
Odds1.8

X2

Chance59%
Odds1.25

Wales

Chance25.8%
Odds3.7

Draw

Chance26.5%
Odds3.6

Denmark

Chance47.7%
Odds2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.25

WalesDenmark
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall35%65%

Wales vs Denmark: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Sun, 4 Oct 2026

Wales meet Denmark in the World, UEFA Nations League on 4 October 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Denmark at 2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 47.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Wales vs Denmark FAQs

4 questions

What time is Wales vs Denmark?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 4 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Wales vs Denmark?

Denmark is the shortest 1X2 price at 2. The margin-adjusted share is about 47.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Wales vs Denmark prediction, H2H and stats