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Watford vs Birmingham Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · ChampionshipThu, 1 Jan 2026

Watford

WWWDD

Thu, 1 Jan 202616:00

3 : 0

Full time

Birmingham

DDLDL

Pre-match win probability

42.7%Watford28.4%Draw28.9%Birmingham

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Watford

Watford vs Birmingham listed tip from the board.

Odds1.33
Confidence42.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Watford 42.7%
  • Draw 28.4%
  • Birmingham 28.9%

Season statistics

Championship · highlighted side is stronger

WatfordBirmingham

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.3% · 1.36.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals11.9% · 213.2% · 1.8
3.5 goals7% · 3.417.9% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes53.6%
No46.4%

Double chance

1X55.7%
X244.3%

Match result

Watford2.2
Draw3.3
Birmingham3.25

Both teams to score

Yes53.6% · 1.73
No46.4% · 2

1X

Chance55.7%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance44.3%
Odds1.67

Watford

Chance42.7%
Odds2.2

Draw

Chance28.4%
Odds3.3

Birmingham

Chance28.9%
Odds3.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.33

WatfordBirmingham
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall60%40%

Watford vs Birmingham: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Thu, 1 Jan 2026

Watford meet Birmingham in the England, Championship on 1 January 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Watford at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Watford vs Birmingham FAQs

4 questions

What time is Watford vs Birmingham?

Kickoff is 16:00 on 1 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Watford vs Birmingham?

Watford is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Watford vs Birmingham prediction, H2H and stats