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Águia de Marabá vs Tocantinópolis Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie DSat, 30 May 2026

Águia de Marabá

2nd in table · 18 pts

LLWWL

Sat, 30 May 202621:00

3 : 1

Full time

Tocantinópolis

5th in table · 12 pts

DWWLW

Pre-match win probability

57.5%Águia de Marabá24.4%Draw18.1%Tocantinópolis

Our prediction

Águia de Marabá

Águia de Marabá is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.57
Confidence57.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Águia de Marabá 57.5%
  • Draw 24.4%
  • Tocantinópolis 18.1%

Season statistics

Serie D · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Águia de MarabáTocantinópolis
Goals scored (avg)
1.71.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.81.6
Wins
53
Played
1010

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Águia de Marabá4W 0D 5L in last 9
  • 12 JulABC3 – 0Águia de MarabáL
  • 4 JulÁguia de Marabá2 – 1ABCW
  • 27 JunÁguia de Marabá2 – 0ParnahybaW
  • 21 JunParnahyba2 – 1Águia de MarabáL
  • 6 JunTrem2 – 0Águia de MarabáL
Tocantinópolis3W 3D 3L in last 9
  • 6 JunTocantinópolis7 – 1OratórioW
  • 23 MayTrem4 – 1TocantinópolisL
  • 16 MayTocantinópolis2 – 0ImperatrizW
  • 10 MayTuna Luso2 – 3TocantinópolisW
  • 2 MayTocantinópolis1 – 1Tuna LusoD
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.011.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals13.8% · 1.711.1% · 2.1
3.5 goals8.9% · 2.6216.3% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes53.6%
No46.4%

Double chance

1X66%
X234%

Match result

Águia de Marabá1.57
Draw3.7
Tocantinópolis5

Both teams to score

Yes53.6% · 1.73
No46.4% · 2

1X

Chance66%
Odds1.11

X2

Chance34%
Odds2.15

Águia de Marabá

Chance57.5%
Odds1.57

Draw

Chance24.4%
Odds3.7

Tocantinópolis

Chance18.1%
Odds5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Águia de Marabá at 1.57

Águia de MarabáTocantinópolis
Recent form50%50%
Attack49%51%
Defence46%54%
Goals model49%51%
Overall76%24%

Trends

Trend · Serie D

Águia de Marabá scored 1.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie D

Águia de Marabá conceded 1.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie D

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Serie D

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Águia de Marabá vs Tocantinópolis: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie D · Sat, 30 May 2026

Águia de Marabá meet Tocantinópolis in the Brazil, Serie D on 30 May 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Águia de Marabá at 1.57. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 57.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Águia de Marabá vs Tocantinópolis FAQs

4 questions

What time is Águia de Marabá vs Tocantinópolis?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 30 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Águia de Marabá vs Tocantinópolis?

Águia de Marabá is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.57. The margin-adjusted share is about 57.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.7 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.