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Aston Villa vs Leeds Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · Premier LeagueSat, 21 Feb 2026

Aston Villa

DWWWW

Sat, 21 Feb 202616:00

1 : 1

Full time

Leeds

DDWLD

Pre-match win probability

53%Aston Villa25.8%Draw21.2%Leeds

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Aston Villa

Aston Villa vs Leeds listed tip from the board.

Odds1.18
Confidence53%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Aston Villa 53%
  • Draw 25.8%
  • Leeds 21.2%

Season statistics

Premier League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Aston VillaLeeds
Goals scored (avg)
2.7–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.2–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Aston Villa8W 1D 1L in last 10
  • 24 OctAston Villa2 – 1Manchester CityW
  • 21 OctAston Villa3 – 1VikingW
  • 17 OctNewcastle0 – 1Aston VillaW
  • 14 OctAston Villa6 – 0FenerbahçeW
  • 10 OctAston Villa2 – 2BrentfordD
Leeds0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.9% · 1.042% · 12
    1.5 goals19.5% · 1.225.5% · 4.33
    2.5 goals13.7% · 1.7311.3% · 2.1
    3.5 goals8.6% · 2.7516.5% · 1.44

    Both teams to score

    Yes55.7%
    No44.3%

    Double chance

    1X62.3%
    X237.7%

    Match result

    Aston Villa1.8
    Draw3.7
    Leeds4.5

    Both teams to score

    Yes55.7% · 1.67
    No44.3% · 2.1

    1X

    Chance62.3%
    Odds1.18

    X2

    Chance37.7%
    Odds1.95

    Aston Villa

    Chance53%
    Odds1.8

    Draw

    Chance25.8%
    Odds3.7

    Leeds

    Chance21.2%
    Odds4.5

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.18

    Aston VillaLeeds
    Recent form96%4%
    Attack73%27%
    Defence64%36%
    Goals model73%27%
    Overall71%29%

    Trends

    Trend · Premier League

    Aston Villa scored 2.7 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Premier League

    Aston Villa conceded 1.2 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Premier League

    Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

    Trend · Premier League

    Over 2.5 goals in 9 of those 10.

    Aston Villa vs Leeds: prediction & preview

    England · Premier League · Sat, 21 Feb 2026

    Aston Villa meet Leeds in the England, Premier League on 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Aston Villa at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 53% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Aston Villa vs Leeds FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Aston Villa vs Leeds?

    Kickoff is 16:00 on 21 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Aston Villa vs Leeds?

    Aston Villa is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 53%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.