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Manchester City vs Newcastle Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · Premier LeagueSat, 21 Feb 2026

Manchester City

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Sat, 21 Feb 202621:00

2 : 1

Full time

Newcastle

WWWLL

Pre-match win probability

63%Manchester City19.9%Draw17.2%Newcastle

Our prediction

Home · Manchester City

Manchester City vs Newcastle listed tip from the board.

Odds1.5
Confidence63%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Manchester City 63%
  • Draw 19.9%
  • Newcastle 17.2%

Season statistics

Premier League · highlighted side is stronger

Manchester CityNewcastle

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.5% · 1.011.1% · 21
1.5 goals20.8% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
2.5 goals16.5% · 1.448.6% · 2.75
3.5 goals10.8% · 2.214.2% · 1.67

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X68.7%
X231.3%

Match result

Manchester City1.5
Draw4.75
Newcastle5.5

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance68.7%
Odds1.14

X2

Chance31.3%
Odds2.5

Manchester City

Chance63%
Odds1.5

Draw

Chance19.9%
Odds4.75

Newcastle

Chance17.2%
Odds5.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.5

Manchester CityNewcastle
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall79%21%

Manchester City vs Newcastle: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Sat, 21 Feb 2026

Manchester City meet Newcastle in the England, Premier League on 21 February 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Manchester City at 1.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 63% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.44, about 65.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Manchester City vs Newcastle FAQs

4 questions

What time is Manchester City vs Newcastle?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 21 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Manchester City vs Newcastle?

Manchester City is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 63%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.44 and under 2.5 is 2.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Manchester City vs Newcastle prediction, H2H and stats