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Chelsea vs Burnley Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · Premier LeagueSat, 21 Feb 2026

Chelsea

WDWLW

Sat, 21 Feb 202616:00

1 : 1

Full time

Burnley

LWLLD

Pre-match win probability

77.6%Chelsea14.6%Draw7.9%Burnley

Our prediction

Home · Chelsea

Chelsea vs Burnley listed tip from the board.

Odds1.22
Confidence77.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Chelsea 77.6%
  • Draw 14.6%
  • Burnley 7.9%

Season statistics

Premier League · highlighted side is stronger

ChelseaBurnley

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.3% · 1.021.3% · 19
1.5 goals20.9% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
2.5 goals16.5% · 1.448.6% · 2.75
3.5 goals11.3% · 2.113.7% · 1.73

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X79.2%
X220.8%

Match result

Chelsea1.22
Draw6.5
Burnley12

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance79.2%
Odds1.05

X2

Chance20.8%
Odds4

Chelsea

Chance77.6%
Odds1.22

Draw

Chance14.6%
Odds6.5

Burnley

Chance7.9%
Odds12

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.22

ChelseaBurnley
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall91%9%

Chelsea vs Burnley: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Sat, 21 Feb 2026

Chelsea meet Burnley in the England, Premier League on 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Chelsea at 1.22. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 77.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.44, about 65.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Chelsea vs Burnley FAQs

4 questions

What time is Chelsea vs Burnley?

Kickoff is 16:00 on 21 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Chelsea vs Burnley?

Chelsea is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.22. The margin-adjusted share is about 77.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.44 and under 2.5 is 2.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Chelsea vs Burnley prediction, H2H and stats