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Bahia vs Mirassol Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie ASun, 11 Oct 2026

Bahia

LLWWW

Sun, 11 Oct 202623:30

1 : 0

Live

Mirassol

DWWDW

Pre-match win probability

56%Bahia25.3%Draw18.7%Mirassol

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Bahia

Bahia vs Mirassol listed tip from the board.

Odds1.17
Confidence56%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Bahia 56%
  • Draw 25.3%
  • Mirassol 18.7%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

BahiaMirassol

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.8% · 1.25.3% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.2% · 1.6711.1% · 2.15
3.5 goals9.1% · 2.6215.8% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X63.7%
X236.3%

Match result

Bahia1.67
Draw3.7
Mirassol5

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance63.7%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance36.3%
Odds2.05

Bahia

Chance56%
Odds1.67

Draw

Chance25.3%
Odds3.7

Mirassol

Chance18.7%
Odds5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.17

BahiaMirassol
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall75%25%

Bahia vs Mirassol: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Sun, 11 Oct 2026

Bahia meet Mirassol in the Brazil, Serie A on 11 October 2026 at 23:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Bahia at 1.67. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 56% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Bahia vs Mirassol FAQs

4 questions

What time is Bahia vs Mirassol?

Kickoff is 23:30 on 11 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Bahia vs Mirassol?

Bahia is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.67. The margin-adjusted share is about 56%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.15.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Bahia vs Mirassol prediction, H2H and stats