Sao Paulo vs Vitoria Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie ASun, 11 Oct 2026

Sao Paulo

LLWDL

Sun, 11 Oct 202601:00

2 : 1

Full time

Vitoria

WLDWL

Pre-match win probability

54.1%Sao Paulo27.9%Draw18%Vitoria

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo vs Vitoria listed tip from the board.

Odds1.12
Confidence54.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sao Paulo 54.1%
  • Draw 27.9%
  • Vitoria 18%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

Sao PauloVitoria

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals17.9% · 1.337% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.9% · 213.2% · 1.8
3.5 goals6.8% · 3.518.3% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X66.8%
X233.2%

Match result

Sao Paulo1.75
Draw3.4
Vitoria5.25

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance66.8%
Odds1.12

X2

Chance33.2%
Odds2.25

Sao Paulo

Chance54.1%
Odds1.75

Draw

Chance27.9%
Odds3.4

Vitoria

Chance18%
Odds5.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.12

Sao PauloVitoria
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall75%25%

Sao Paulo vs Vitoria: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Sun, 11 Oct 2026

Sao Paulo meet Vitoria in the Brazil, Serie A on 11 October 2026 at 01:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sao Paulo at 1.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Sao Paulo vs Vitoria FAQs

4 questions

What time is Sao Paulo vs Vitoria?

Kickoff is 01:00 on 11 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Sao Paulo vs Vitoria?

Sao Paulo is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 54.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Sao Paulo vs Vitoria prediction, H2H and stats