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Palmeiras vs Corinthians Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie ASun, 11 Oct 2026

Palmeiras

WDLWW

Sun, 11 Oct 202621:30

4 : 1

Full time

Corinthians

LLLLD

Pre-match win probability

59.6%Palmeiras25.8%Draw14.7%Corinthians

Our prediction

Home · Palmeiras

Palmeiras vs Corinthians listed tip from the board.

Odds1.6
Confidence59.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Palmeiras 59.6%
  • Draw 25.8%
  • Corinthians 14.7%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

PalmeirasCorinthians

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.9% · 1.337% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.6% · 2.0513.6% · 1.75
3.5 goals6.4% · 3.7518.6% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes45.3%
No54.7%

Double chance

1X66.8%
X233.2%

Match result

Palmeiras1.6
Draw3.7
Corinthians6.5

Both teams to score

Yes45.3% · 2.05
No54.7% · 1.7

1X

Chance66.8%
Odds1.12

X2

Chance33.2%
Odds2.25

Palmeiras

Chance59.6%
Odds1.6

Draw

Chance25.8%
Odds3.7

Corinthians

Chance14.7%
Odds6.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.6

PalmeirasCorinthians
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall80%20%

Palmeiras vs Corinthians: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Sun, 11 Oct 2026

Palmeiras meet Corinthians in the Brazil, Serie A on 11 October 2026 at 21:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Palmeiras at 1.6. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 59.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.7.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Palmeiras vs Corinthians FAQs

4 questions

What time is Palmeiras vs Corinthians?

Kickoff is 21:30 on 11 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Palmeiras vs Corinthians?

Palmeiras is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.6. The margin-adjusted share is about 59.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.05. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Palmeiras vs Corinthians prediction, H2H and stats