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Flamengo vs Fluminense Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie ASun, 11 Oct 2026

Flamengo

1st in table · 70 pts

DDWDW

Sun, 11 Oct 202621:30

1 : 0

Full time

Fluminense

5th in table · 51 pts

WWLLW

Pre-match win probability

63%Flamengo22.5%Draw14.5%Fluminense

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Flamengo

Flamengo vs Fluminense listed tip from the board.

Odds1.1
Confidence63%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Flamengo 63%
  • Draw 22.5%
  • Fluminense 14.5%

Season statistics

Serie A · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

FlamengoFluminense
Goals scored (avg)
1.7–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.8–
Wins
2114
Played
3232

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Flamengo5W 4D 0L in last 9
  • 27 OctFlamengo3 – 2Atletico-MGW
  • 23 OctFlamengo0 – 0Estudiantes L.P.D
  • 18 OctBahia0 – 3FlamengoW
  • 16 OctEstudiantes L.P.0 – 0FlamengoD
  • 8 OctSantos2 – 2FlamengoD
Fluminense0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headFlamengo 3W · 3D · Fluminense 3W · 1.7 goals a game
    • 12 AprFluminense1 – 2Flamengo
    • 8 MarFluminense0 – 0Flamengo
    • 25 JanFluminense2 – 1Flamengo
    • 20 NovFluminense2 – 1Flamengo
    • 20 JulFlamengo1 – 0Fluminense
    • 16 MarFlamengo0 – 0Fluminense

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.9% · 1.042% · 12
    1.5 goals19.1% · 1.256% · 4
    2.5 goals13.2% · 1.811.9% · 2
    3.5 goals7.9% · 317% · 1.4

    Both teams to score

    Yes50%
    No50%

    Double chance

    1X70.4%
    X229.6%

    Match result

    Flamengo1.5
    Draw4.2
    Fluminense6.5

    Both teams to score

    Yes50% · 1.91
    No50% · 1.91

    1X

    Chance70.4%
    Odds1.1

    X2

    Chance29.6%
    Odds2.62

    Flamengo

    Chance63%
    Odds1.5

    Draw

    Chance22.5%
    Odds4.2

    Fluminense

    Chance14.5%
    Odds6.5

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.1

    FlamengoFluminense
    Recent form95%5%
    Attack63%37%
    Defence69%31%
    Goals model63%37%
    Head-to-head50%50%
    Overall81%19%

    Trends

    Trend · Serie A

    Flamengo scored 1.7 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Serie A

    Flamengo conceded 0.8 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Serie A

    Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

    Trend · Serie A

    Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

    Flamengo vs Fluminense: prediction & preview

    Brazil · Serie A · Sun, 11 Oct 2026

    Flamengo meet Fluminense in the Brazil, Serie A on 11 October 2026 at 21:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Flamengo at 1.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 63% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.91.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Flamengo vs Fluminense FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Flamengo vs Fluminense?

    Kickoff is 21:30 on 11 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Flamengo vs Fluminense?

    Flamengo is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 63%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.