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Casa Pia vs Rio Ave Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaSat, 16 May 2026

Casa Pia

16th in table · 30 pts

WLLLD

Sat, 16 May 202618:00

1 : 1

Full time

Rio Ave

12th in table · 36 pts

LDLDW

Pre-match win probability

54.2%Casa Pia26%Draw19.7%Rio Ave

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Casa Pia

Casa Pia vs Rio Ave listed tip from the board.

Odds2.05
Confidence54.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Casa Pia 54.2%
  • Draw 26%
  • Rio Ave 19.7%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Casa PiaRio Ave
Wins
68
Played
3434

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Casa Pia0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Rio Ave0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      0.5 goals22.5% · 1.052.2% · 11
      1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
      2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.8% · 1.85
      3.5 goals7% · 3.418.2% · 1.3

      Both teams to score

      Yes50%
      No50%

      Double chance

      1X63.7%
      X236.3%

      Match result

      Casa Pia1.73
      Draw3.6
      Rio Ave4.75

      Both teams to score

      Yes50% · 1.91
      No50% · 1.91

      1X

      Chance63.7%
      Odds1.17

      X2

      Chance36.3%
      Odds2.05

      Casa Pia

      Chance54.2%
      Odds1.73

      Draw

      Chance26%
      Odds3.6

      Rio Ave

      Chance19.7%
      Odds4.75

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: Away or Draw at 2.05

      Casa PiaRio Ave
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Overall73%27%

      Casa Pia vs Rio Ave: prediction & preview

      Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sat, 16 May 2026

      Casa Pia meet Rio Ave in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 16 May 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Casa Pia at 1.73. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.91.

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Casa Pia vs Rio Ave FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is Casa Pia vs Rio Ave?

      Kickoff is 18:00 on 16 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      Which outcome is shortest on Casa Pia vs Rio Ave?

      Casa Pia is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.73. The margin-adjusted share is about 54.2%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.