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Nacional vs Guimaraes Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaSat, 16 May 2026

Nacional

LLWWL

Sat, 16 May 202618:00

2 : 0

Full time

Guimaraes

LLWWD

Pre-match win probability

43.2%Nacional28.2%Draw28.6%Guimaraes

Our prediction

Draw · Nacional

Nacional vs Guimaraes listed tip from the board.

Odds3.3
Confidence43.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Nacional 43.2%
  • Draw 28.2%
  • Guimaraes 28.6%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

NacionalGuimaraes

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Nacional0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Guimaraes0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headNacional 2W · 2D · Guimaraes 5W · 2.7 goals a game
      • 23 AugVitória SC1 – 0Nacional
      • 2 JanVitória SC2 – 1Nacional
      • 3 MayNacional1 – 2Vitória SC
      • 23 DecVitória SC2 – 2Nacional
      • 26 AprNacional1 – 0Vitória SC
      • 21 JanVitória SC3 – 1Nacional

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      0.5 goals22.6% · 1.042% · 12
      1.5 goals19.3% · 1.225.9% · 4
      2.5 goals13.1% · 1.811.8% · 2
      3.5 goals8.6% · 2.7516.8% · 1.4

      Both teams to score

      Yes55.7%
      No44.3%

      Double chance

      1X55.1%
      X244.9%

      Match result

      Nacional2.15
      Draw3.3
      Guimaraes3.25

      Both teams to score

      Yes55.7% · 1.67
      No44.3% · 2.1

      1X

      Chance55.1%
      Odds1.36

      X2

      Chance44.9%
      Odds1.67

      Nacional

      Chance43.2%
      Odds2.15

      Draw

      Chance28.2%
      Odds3.3

      Guimaraes

      Chance28.6%
      Odds3.25

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: Draw at 3.3

      NacionalGuimaraes
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Head-to-head33%67%
      Overall60%40%

      Nacional vs Guimaraes: prediction & preview

      Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sat, 16 May 2026

      Nacional meet Guimaraes in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 16 May 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Nacional at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Nacional vs Guimaraes FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is Nacional vs Guimaraes?

      Kickoff is 18:00 on 16 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      Which outcome is shortest on Nacional vs Guimaraes?

      Nacional is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.2%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.