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Chelsea vs Port Vale Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · FA CupSat, 4 Apr 2026

Chelsea

LLLLD

Sat, 4 Apr 202617:15

7 : 0

Full time

Port Vale

LLWLD

Pre-match win probability

90.1%Chelsea6.3%Draw3.6%Port Vale

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Chelsea

Chelsea vs Port Vale listed tip from the board.

Odds8
Confidence90.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Chelsea 90.1%
  • Draw 6.3%
  • Port Vale 3.6%

Season statistics

FA Cup · highlighted side is stronger

ChelseaPort Vale

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.6% · 1.010.8% · 29
1.5 goals22.3% · 1.072.6% · 9
2.5 goals18.6% · 1.286.4% · 3.75
3.5 goals14.3% · 1.6711.4% · 2.1

Both teams to score

Yes39.1%
No60.9%

Double chance

1X88.7%
X211.3%

Match result

Chelsea1.05
Draw15
Port Vale26

Both teams to score

Yes39.1% · 2.38
No60.9% · 1.53

1X

Chance88.7%
Odds1.02

X2

Chance11.3%
Odds8

Chelsea

Chance90.1%
Odds1.05

Draw

Chance6.3%
Odds15

Port Vale

Chance3.6%
Odds26

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 8

ChelseaPort Vale
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall96%4%

Chelsea vs Port Vale: prediction & preview

England · FA Cup · Sat, 4 Apr 2026

Chelsea meet Port Vale in the England, FA Cup on 4 April 2026 at 17:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 7–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Chelsea at 1.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 90.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.28, about 74.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Chelsea vs Port Vale FAQs

4 questions

What time is Chelsea vs Port Vale?

Kickoff is 17:15 on 4 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Chelsea vs Port Vale?

Chelsea is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 90.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.28 and under 2.5 is 3.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.38. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Chelsea vs Port Vale prediction, H2H and stats