Get Premium

Southampton vs Arsenal Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · FA CupSat, 4 Apr 2026

Southampton

WWWDW

Sat, 4 Apr 202620:00

2 : 1

Full time

Arsenal

LWWDW

Pre-match win probability

14.5%Southampton18.9%Draw66.6%Arsenal

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Southampton

Southampton vs Arsenal listed tip from the board.

Odds1.11
Confidence66.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Southampton 14.5%
  • Draw 18.9%
  • Arsenal 66.6%

Season statistics

FA Cup · highlighted side is stronger

SouthamptonArsenal

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20% · 1.185.3% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.6% · 1.6210.3% · 2.3
3.5 goals9.5% · 2.515.8% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X28.8%
X271.2%

Match result

Southampton6.5
Draw5
Arsenal1.42

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance28.8%
Odds2.75

X2

Chance71.2%
Odds1.11

Southampton

Chance14.5%
Odds6.5

Draw

Chance18.9%
Odds5

Arsenal

Chance66.6%
Odds1.42

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.11

SouthamptonArsenal
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall18%82%

Southampton vs Arsenal: prediction & preview

England · FA Cup · Sat, 4 Apr 2026

Southampton meet Arsenal in the England, FA Cup on 4 April 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Arsenal at 1.42. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 66.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Southampton vs Arsenal FAQs

4 questions

What time is Southampton vs Arsenal?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 4 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Southampton vs Arsenal?

Arsenal is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.42. The margin-adjusted share is about 66.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.3.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Southampton vs Arsenal prediction, H2H and stats