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Manchester City vs Liverpool Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · FA CupSat, 4 Apr 2026

Manchester City

Sat, 4 Apr 202612:45

4 : 0

Full time

Liverpool

Pre-match win probability

53.6%Manchester City22.9%Draw23.5%Liverpool

Our prediction

Manchester City

Manchester City is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.75
Confidence53.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Manchester City 53.6%
  • Draw 22.9%
  • Liverpool 23.5%

Season statistics

FA Cup · highlighted side is stronger

Manchester CityLiverpool

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.3% · 1.021.2% · 19
1.5 goals20.8% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
2.5 goals15.8% · 1.59.1% · 2.62
3.5 goals11.3% · 2.114.2% · 1.67

Both teams to score

Yes60.9%
No39.1%

Double chance

1X62.1%
X237.9%

Match result

Manchester City1.75
Draw4.1
Liverpool4

Both teams to score

Yes60.9% · 1.53
No39.1% · 2.38

1X

Chance62.1%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance37.9%
Odds2

Manchester City

Chance53.6%
Odds1.75

Draw

Chance22.9%
Odds4.1

Liverpool

Chance23.5%
Odds4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Manchester City at 1.75

Manchester CityLiverpool
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall70%30%

Manchester City vs Liverpool: prediction & preview

England · FA Cup · Sat, 4 Apr 2026

Manchester City meet Liverpool in the England, FA Cup on 4 April 2026 at 12:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Manchester City at 1.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 53.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.5, about 63.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Manchester City vs Liverpool FAQs

4 questions

What time is Manchester City vs Liverpool?

Kickoff is 12:45 on 4 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Manchester City vs Liverpool?

Manchester City is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 53.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.5 and under 2.5 is 2.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Manchester City vs Liverpool prediction, H2H and stats