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Deportivo La Guaira vs Independ. Rivadavia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · CONMEBOL LibertadoresThu, 21 May 2026

Deportivo La Guaira

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Thu, 21 May 202623:00

2 : 4

Live

Independ. Rivadavia

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Pre-match win probability

23.6%Deportivo La Guaira30.4%Draw46%Independ. Rivadavia

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Deportivo La Guaira

Deportivo La Guaira vs Independ. Rivadavia listed tip from the board.

Odds1.22
Confidence46%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Deportivo La Guaira 23.6%
  • Draw 30.4%
  • Independ. Rivadavia 46%

Season statistics

CONMEBOL Libertadores · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Deportivo La GuairaIndepend. Rivadavia
Goals scored (avg)
1.21.5
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.51.7

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Deportivo La Guaira2W 3D 5L in last 10
  • 29 OctCarabobo FC3 – 1Deportivo La GuairaL
  • 26 OctDeportivo La Guaira2 – 2Metropolitanos FCD
  • 21 OctDeportivo La Guaira3 – 0Aragua FCW
  • 17 OctDeportivo La Guaira1 – 2Trujillanos FCL
  • 10 OctPortuguesa FC0 – 0Deportivo La GuairaD
Independ. Rivadavia4W 3D 3L in last 10
  • 27 OctArgentinos JRS1 – 0Independ. RivadaviaL
  • 17 OctIndepend. Rivadavia2 – 2TigreD
  • 11 OctRosario Central5 – 0Independ. RivadaviaL
  • 3 OctIndepend. Rivadavia1 – 1Gimnasia L.P.D
  • 21 SeptBarracas Central0 – 1Independ. RivadaviaW
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21% · 1.123.9% · 6
1.5 goals14.5% · 1.6210.7% · 2.2
2.5 goals8.2% · 2.8816.8% · 1.4
3.5 goals3.6% · 6.521.2% · 1.11

Both teams to score

Yes35.5%
No64.5%

Double chance

1X40.4%
X259.6%

Match result

Deportivo La Guaira4
Draw3.1
Independ. Rivadavia2.05

Both teams to score

Yes35.5% · 2.62
No64.5% · 1.44

1X

Chance40.4%
Odds1.8

X2

Chance59.6%
Odds1.22

Deportivo La Guaira

Chance23.6%
Odds4

Draw

Chance30.4%
Odds3.1

Independ. Rivadavia

Chance46%
Odds2.05

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.22

Deportivo La GuairaIndepend. Rivadavia
Recent form38%62%
Attack44%56%
Defence54%46%
Goals model44%56%
Overall34%66%

Trends

Trend · CONMEBOL Libertadores

Deportivo La Guaira scored 1.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · CONMEBOL Libertadores

Deportivo La Guaira conceded 1.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · CONMEBOL Libertadores

Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

Trend · CONMEBOL Libertadores

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Deportivo La Guaira vs Independ. Rivadavia: prediction & preview

World · CONMEBOL Libertadores · Thu, 21 May 2026

Deportivo La Guaira meet Independ. Rivadavia in the World, CONMEBOL Libertadores on 21 May 2026 at 23:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–4.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Independ. Rivadavia at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 46% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.4, about 67.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.44.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Deportivo La Guaira vs Independ. Rivadavia FAQs

4 questions

What time is Deportivo La Guaira vs Independ. Rivadavia?

Kickoff is 23:00 on 21 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Deportivo La Guaira vs Independ. Rivadavia?

Independ. Rivadavia is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 46%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.88 and under 2.5 is 1.4.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.