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Estoril vs Benfica Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaSat, 16 May 2026

Estoril

DDLLL

Sat, 16 May 202620:30

1 : 3

Full time

Benfica

DDWWW

Pre-match win probability

8.6%Estoril17.2%Draw74.3%Benfica

Our prediction

0-1 · Estoril

Estoril vs Benfica listed tip from the board.

Odds1.27
Confidence74.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Estoril 8.6%
  • Draw 17.2%
  • Benfica 74.3%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

EstorilBenfica

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.4% · 1.011.1% · 21
1.5 goals21.3% · 1.113.6% · 6.5
2.5 goals16.9% · 1.48.2% · 2.88
3.5 goals12.4% · 1.9113.1% · 1.8

Both teams to score

Yes54.7%
No45.3%

Double chance

1X23.9%
X276.1%

Match result

Estoril11
Draw5.5
Benfica1.27

Both teams to score

Yes54.7% · 1.7
No45.3% · 2.05

1X

Chance23.9%
Odds3.4

X2

Chance76.1%
Odds1.07

Estoril

Chance8.6%
Odds11

Draw

Chance17.2%
Odds5.5

Benfica

Chance74.3%
Odds1.27

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 0-1 at 1.27

EstorilBenfica
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall10%90%

Estoril vs Benfica: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sat, 16 May 2026

Estoril meet Benfica in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 16 May 2026 at 20:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Benfica at 1.27. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 74.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.4, about 67.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.7.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Estoril vs Benfica FAQs

4 questions

What time is Estoril vs Benfica?

Kickoff is 20:30 on 16 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Estoril vs Benfica?

Benfica is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.27. The margin-adjusted share is about 74.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.4 and under 2.5 is 2.88.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.7. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Estoril vs Benfica prediction, H2H and stats