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Excelsior vs Heerenveen Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Netherlands · EredivisieSat, 7 Mar 2026

Excelsior

LLLWD

Sat, 7 Mar 202621:00

1 : 2

Full time

Heerenveen

WLWWL

Pre-match win probability

35%Excelsior25.6%Draw39.4%Heerenveen

Our prediction

Away · Excelsior

Excelsior vs Heerenveen listed tip from the board.

Odds2.4
Confidence39.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Excelsior 35%
  • Draw 25.6%
  • Heerenveen 39.4%

Season statistics

Eredivisie · highlighted side is stronger

ExcelsiorHeerenveen

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals19.6% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals14.1% · 1.6711% · 2.15
3.5 goals9% · 2.6216.4% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X48.5%
X251.5%

Match result

Excelsior2.7
Draw3.7
Heerenveen2.4

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance48.5%
Odds1.53

X2

Chance51.5%
Odds1.44

Excelsior

Chance35%
Odds2.7

Draw

Chance25.6%
Odds3.7

Heerenveen

Chance39.4%
Odds2.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 2.4

ExcelsiorHeerenveen
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall47%53%

Excelsior vs Heerenveen: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sat, 7 Mar 2026

Excelsior meet Heerenveen in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 7 March 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Heerenveen at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Excelsior vs Heerenveen FAQs

4 questions

What time is Excelsior vs Heerenveen?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 7 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Excelsior vs Heerenveen?

Heerenveen is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.15.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Excelsior vs Heerenveen prediction, H2H and stats