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Groningen vs Ajax Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Netherlands · EredivisieSat, 7 Mar 2026

Groningen

LLLLL

Sat, 7 Mar 202616:30

3 : 1

Full time

Ajax

DDWDD

Pre-match win probability

32.7%Groningen25.3%Draw42.1%Ajax

Our prediction

Away · Groningen

Groningen vs Ajax listed tip from the board.

Odds2.25
Confidence42.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Groningen 32.7%
  • Draw 25.3%
  • Ajax 42.1%

Season statistics

Eredivisie · highlighted side is stronger

GroningenAjax

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20% · 1.185.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.6% · 1.6210.5% · 2.25
3.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes60.9%
No39.1%

Double chance

1X46.4%
X253.6%

Match result

Groningen2.9
Draw3.75
Ajax2.25

Both teams to score

Yes60.9% · 1.53
No39.1% · 2.38

1X

Chance46.4%
Odds1.62

X2

Chance53.6%
Odds1.4

Groningen

Chance32.7%
Odds2.9

Draw

Chance25.3%
Odds3.75

Ajax

Chance42.1%
Odds2.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 2.25

GroningenAjax
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall44%56%

Groningen vs Ajax: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sat, 7 Mar 2026

Groningen meet Ajax in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 7 March 2026 at 16:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Ajax at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Groningen vs Ajax FAQs

4 questions

What time is Groningen vs Ajax?

Kickoff is 16:30 on 7 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Groningen vs Ajax?

Ajax is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.25.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Groningen vs Ajax prediction, H2H and stats