PSV Eindhoven vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

PSV Eindhoven

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Sat, 7 Mar 202620:00

2 : 1

Full time

AZ Alkmaar

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Pre-match win probability

68.5%PSV Eindhoven18%Draw13.5%AZ Alkmaar

Our prediction

Home · PSV Eindhoven

PSV Eindhoven vs AZ Alkmaar listed tip from the board.

Odds1.38
Confidence68.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • PSV Eindhoven 68.5%
  • Draw 18%
  • AZ Alkmaar 13.5%

Season statistics

Eredivisie · highlighted side is stronger

PSV EindhovenAZ Alkmaar

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.4% · 1.011% · 23
1.5 goals21.5% · 1.13.4% · 7
2.5 goals17.4% · 1.367.6% · 3.1
3.5 goals12.9% · 1.8312.9% · 1.83

Both teams to score

Yes60.9%
No39.1%

Double chance

1X73.2%
X226.8%

Match result

PSV Eindhoven1.38
Draw5.25
AZ Alkmaar7

Both teams to score

Yes60.9% · 1.53
No39.1% · 2.38

1X

Chance73.2%
Odds1.1

X2

Chance26.8%
Odds3

PSV Eindhoven

Chance68.5%
Odds1.38

Draw

Chance18%
Odds5.25

AZ Alkmaar

Chance13.5%
Odds7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.38

PSV EindhovenAZ Alkmaar
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall84%16%

PSV Eindhoven vs AZ Alkmaar: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sat, 7 Mar 2026

PSV Eindhoven meet AZ Alkmaar in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 7 March 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is PSV Eindhoven at 1.38. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 68.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.36, about 69.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

PSV Eindhoven vs AZ Alkmaar FAQs

4 questions

What time is PSV Eindhoven vs AZ Alkmaar?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 7 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on PSV Eindhoven vs AZ Alkmaar?

PSV Eindhoven is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.38. The margin-adjusted share is about 68.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.36 and under 2.5 is 3.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

PSV Eindhoven vs AZ Alkmaar prediction, H2H and stats