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FC Porto vs Moreirense Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaSun, 15 Mar 2026

FC Porto

WDLWW

Sun, 15 Mar 202621:30

3 : 0

Full time

Moreirense

DDLWL

Pre-match win probability

77.1%FC Porto15.7%Draw7.2%Moreirense

Our prediction

Home · FC Porto

FC Porto vs Moreirense listed tip from the board.

Odds1.22
Confidence77.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • FC Porto 77.1%
  • Draw 15.7%
  • Moreirense 7.2%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

FC PortoMoreirense

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.052.1% · 11
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.8% · 1.8512.1% · 1.95
3.5 goals7.9% · 317.4% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes35.5%
No64.5%

Double chance

1X79.4%
X220.6%

Match result

FC Porto1.22
Draw6
Moreirense13

Both teams to score

Yes35.5% · 2.62
No64.5% · 1.44

1X

Chance79.4%
Odds1.04

X2

Chance20.6%
Odds4

FC Porto

Chance77.1%
Odds1.22

Draw

Chance15.7%
Odds6

Moreirense

Chance7.2%
Odds13

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.22

FC PortoMoreirense
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall91%9%

FC Porto vs Moreirense: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sun, 15 Mar 2026

FC Porto meet Moreirense in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 15 March 2026 at 21:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is FC Porto at 1.22. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 77.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.44.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

FC Porto vs Moreirense FAQs

4 questions

What time is FC Porto vs Moreirense?

Kickoff is 21:30 on 15 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on FC Porto vs Moreirense?

FC Porto is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.22. The margin-adjusted share is about 77.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

FC Porto vs Moreirense prediction, H2H and stats