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Rio Ave vs Estrela Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaSun, 15 Mar 2026

Rio Ave

WDLLL

Sun, 15 Mar 202619:00

2 : 1

Full time

Estrela

DDLLW

Pre-match win probability

39.4%Rio Ave30.3%Draw30.3%Estrela

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Rio Ave

Rio Ave vs Estrela listed tip from the board.

Odds1.36
Confidence39.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Rio Ave 39.4%
  • Draw 30.3%
  • Estrela 30.3%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Rio AveEstrela

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.8% · 3
2.5 goals10.9% · 2.1514.1% · 1.67
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.3% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X52.9%
X247.1%

Match result

Rio Ave2.38
Draw3.1
Estrela3.1

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.91
No50% · 1.91

1X

Chance52.9%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance47.1%
Odds1.53

Rio Ave

Chance39.4%
Odds2.38

Draw

Chance30.3%
Odds3.1

Estrela

Chance30.3%
Odds3.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.36

Rio AveEstrela
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall57%43%

Rio Ave vs Estrela: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sun, 15 Mar 2026

Rio Ave meet Estrela in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 15 March 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Rio Ave at 2.38. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.91.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Rio Ave vs Estrela FAQs

4 questions

What time is Rio Ave vs Estrela?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 15 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Rio Ave vs Estrela?

Rio Ave is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.38. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.15 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.