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Nacional vs Estoril Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaSun, 15 Mar 2026

Nacional

DLLLD

Sun, 15 Mar 202616:30

0 : 1

Full time

Estoril

DLWLD

Pre-match win probability

43.1%Nacional26.3%Draw30.6%Estoril

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Nacional

Nacional vs Estoril listed tip from the board.

Odds1.7
Confidence43.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Nacional 43.1%
  • Draw 26.3%
  • Estoril 30.6%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

NacionalEstoril

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20% · 1.185.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.3% · 1.6510.7% · 2.2
3.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X56.1%
X243.9%

Match result

Nacional2.2
Draw3.6
Estoril3.1

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance56.1%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance43.9%
Odds1.7

Nacional

Chance43.1%
Odds2.2

Draw

Chance26.3%
Odds3.6

Estoril

Chance30.6%
Odds3.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.7

NacionalEstoril
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall58%42%

Nacional vs Estoril: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sun, 15 Mar 2026

Nacional meet Estoril in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 15 March 2026 at 16:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Nacional at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Nacional vs Estoril FAQs

4 questions

What time is Nacional vs Estoril?

Kickoff is 16:30 on 15 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Nacional vs Estoril?

Nacional is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.65 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Nacional vs Estoril prediction, H2H and stats