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Nova Iguaçu vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie DSat, 16 May 2026

Nova Iguaçu

Sat, 16 May 202621:00

2 : 1

Full time

Sampaio Corrêa RJ

Pre-match win probability

41.7%Nova Iguaçu31.1%Draw27.2%Sampaio Corrêa RJ

Our prediction

Nova Iguaçu

Nova Iguaçu is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.15
Confidence41.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Nova Iguaçu 41.7%
  • Draw 31.1%
  • Sampaio Corrêa RJ 27.2%

Season statistics

Serie D · highlighted side is stronger

Nova IguaçuSampaio Corrêa RJ

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.7% · 1.083.3% · 7
1.5 goals16.7% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
2.5 goals10% · 2.3514.9% · 1.57
3.5 goals5.4% · 4.3319.5% · 1.2

Both teams to score

Yes46.4%
No53.6%

Double chance

1X55.7%
X244.3%

Match result

Nova Iguaçu2.15
Draw2.88
Sampaio Corrêa RJ3.3

Both teams to score

Yes46.4% · 2
No53.6% · 1.73

1X

Chance55.7%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance44.3%
Odds1.57

Nova Iguaçu

Chance41.7%
Odds2.15

Draw

Chance31.1%
Odds2.88

Sampaio Corrêa RJ

Chance27.2%
Odds3.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Nova Iguaçu at 2.15

Nova IguaçuSampaio Corrêa RJ
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall61%39%

Nova Iguaçu vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie D · Sat, 16 May 2026

Nova Iguaçu meet Sampaio Corrêa RJ in the Brazil, Serie D on 16 May 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Nova Iguaçu at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Nova Iguaçu vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ FAQs

4 questions

What time is Nova Iguaçu vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 16 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Nova Iguaçu vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ?

Nova Iguaçu is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.35 and under 2.5 is 1.57.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Nova Iguaçu vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ prediction, H2H and stats