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Oviedo vs Alaves Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaSun, 17 May 2026

Oviedo

WLWWD

Sun, 17 May 202618:00

0 : 1

Full time

Alaves

LDLLD

Pre-match win probability

23.7%Oviedo28.8%Draw47.5%Alaves

Our prediction

Alaves

Alaves is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2
Confidence47.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Oviedo 23.7%
  • Draw 28.8%
  • Alaves 47.5%

Season statistics

La Liga · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

OviedoAlaves
Goals scored (avg)
1.51.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.21.1

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Oviedo5W 2D 3L in last 10
  • 24 OctAlmeria2 – 2OviedoD
  • 18 OctAD Ceuta FC1 – 2OviedoW
  • 12 OctOviedo3 – 1EibarW
  • 2 OctEldense4 – 1OviedoL
  • 27 SeptOviedo2 – 0Sporting GijonW
Alaves3W 3D 4L in last 10
  • 23 OctAlaves1 – 1MalagaD
  • 18 OctCelta Vigo2 – 1AlavesL
  • 10 OctAlaves1 – 2Atletico MadridL
  • 19 SeptAthletic Club0 – 0AlavesD
  • 15 SeptAlaves0 – 1ValenciaL
H2H
Head to headOviedo 1W · 2D · Alaves 1W · 1.5 goals a game
  • 4 JanAlaves1 – 1Oviedo
  • 13 JanOviedo1 – 0Alaves
  • 29 OctAlaves2 – 1Oviedo
  • 30 JulAlaves0 – 0Oviedo

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.083% · 8
1.5 goals17% · 1.47.9% · 3
2.5 goals10.3% · 2.314.7% · 1.62
3.5 goals5.5% · 4.3319.5% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes46.7%
No53.3%

Double chance

1X41%
X259%

Match result

Oviedo4
Draw3.3
Alaves2

Both teams to score

Yes46.7% · 2
No53.3% · 1.75

1X

Chance41%
Odds1.8

X2

Chance59%
Odds1.25

Oviedo

Chance23.7%
Odds4

Draw

Chance28.8%
Odds3.3

Alaves

Chance47.5%
Odds2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Alaves at 2

OviedoAlaves
Recent form59%41%
Attack52%48%
Defence49%51%
Goals model52%48%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall33%67%

Trends

Trend · La Liga

Oviedo scored 1.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · La Liga

Oviedo conceded 1.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · La Liga

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · La Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

Oviedo vs Alaves: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Sun, 17 May 2026

Oviedo meet Alaves in the Spain, La Liga on 17 May 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Alaves at 2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 47.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Oviedo vs Alaves FAQs

4 questions

What time is Oviedo vs Alaves?

Kickoff is 18:00 on 17 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Oviedo vs Alaves?

Alaves is the shortest 1X2 price at 2. The margin-adjusted share is about 47.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.3 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.