Porto BA vs Vitória ES Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie DSat, 16 May 2026

Porto BA

Sat, 16 May 202620:00

0 : 0

Full time

Vitória ES

Pre-match win probability

28.8%Porto BA29.7%Draw41.5%Vitória ES

Our prediction

Vitória ES

Vitória ES is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.15
Confidence41.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Porto BA 28.8%
  • Draw 29.7%
  • Vitória ES 41.5%

Season statistics

Serie D · highlighted side is stronger

Porto BAVitória ES

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.1% · 1.062.9% · 8
1.5 goals17.2% · 1.367.8% · 3
2.5 goals10.9% · 2.1514% · 1.67
3.5 goals6.2% · 3.7518.7% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X41.4%
X258.6%

Match result

Porto BA3.1
Draw3
Vitória ES2.15

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance41.4%
Odds1.73

X2

Chance58.6%
Odds1.22

Porto BA

Chance28.8%
Odds3.1

Draw

Chance29.7%
Odds3

Vitória ES

Chance41.5%
Odds2.15

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Vitória ES at 2.15

Porto BAVitória ES
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall41%59%

Porto BA vs Vitória ES: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie D · Sat, 16 May 2026

Porto BA meet Vitória ES in the Brazil, Serie D on 16 May 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Vitória ES at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Porto BA vs Vitória ES FAQs

4 questions

What time is Porto BA vs Vitória ES?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 16 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Porto BA vs Vitória ES?

Vitória ES is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.15 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Porto BA vs Vitória ES prediction, H2H and stats