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Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaSun, 17 May 2026

Rayo Vallecano

DDWWW

Sun, 17 May 202618:00

2 : 0

Full time

Villarreal

LDWWD

Pre-match win probability

48%Rayo Vallecano26.7%Draw25.3%Villarreal

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal listed tip from the board.

Odds1.8
Confidence48%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Rayo Vallecano 48%
  • Draw 26.7%
  • Villarreal 25.3%

Season statistics

La Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Rayo VallecanoVillarreal

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.225.5% · 4.33
2.5 goals13.8% · 1.7311.3% · 2.1
3.5 goals8.7% · 2.7516.5% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X58.4%
X241.6%

Match result

Rayo Vallecano1.95
Draw3.5
Villarreal3.7

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance58.4%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance41.6%
Odds1.8

Rayo Vallecano

Chance48%
Odds1.95

Draw

Chance26.7%
Odds3.5

Villarreal

Chance25.3%
Odds3.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.8

Rayo VallecanoVillarreal
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall65%35%

Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Sun, 17 May 2026

Rayo Vallecano meet Villarreal in the Spain, La Liga on 17 May 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Rayo Vallecano at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal FAQs

4 questions

What time is Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal?

Kickoff is 18:00 on 17 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal?

Rayo Vallecano is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 48%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal prediction, H2H and stats