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Real Madrid vs Athletic Club Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaSat, 23 May 2026

Real Madrid

WWLWD

Sat, 23 May 202620:00

4 : 2

Full time

Athletic Club

DLLWL

Pre-match win probability

62.3%Real Madrid20.8%Draw17%Athletic Club

Our prediction

Home · Real Madrid

Real Madrid vs Athletic Club listed tip from the board.

Odds1.5
Confidence62.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Real Madrid 62.3%
  • Draw 20.8%
  • Athletic Club 17%

Season statistics

La Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Real MadridAthletic Club

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.3% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20.4% · 1.174.8% · 5
2.5 goals15.6% · 1.539.5% · 2.5
3.5 goals10.4% · 2.314.7% · 1.62

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X69.7%
X230.3%

Match result

Real Madrid1.5
Draw4.5
Athletic Club5.5

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance69.7%
Odds1.14

X2

Chance30.3%
Odds2.62

Real Madrid

Chance62.3%
Odds1.5

Draw

Chance20.8%
Odds4.5

Athletic Club

Chance17%
Odds5.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.5

Real MadridAthletic Club
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall79%21%

Real Madrid vs Athletic Club: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Sat, 23 May 2026

Real Madrid meet Athletic Club in the Spain, La Liga on 23 May 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Real Madrid at 1.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 62.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 62% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Real Madrid vs Athletic Club FAQs

4 questions

What time is Real Madrid vs Athletic Club?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 23 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Real Madrid vs Athletic Club?

Real Madrid is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 62.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Real Madrid vs Athletic Club prediction, H2H and stats