Sevilla vs Real Madrid Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaSun, 17 May 2026

Sevilla

WWWLL

Sun, 17 May 202618:00

0 : 1

Full time

Real Madrid

WLWDW

Pre-match win probability

29.7%Sevilla26.3%Draw43.9%Real Madrid

Our prediction

Draw · Sevilla

Sevilla vs Real Madrid listed tip from the board.

Odds3.5
Confidence43.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sevilla 29.7%
  • Draw 26.3%
  • Real Madrid 43.9%

Season statistics

La Liga · highlighted side is stronger

SevillaReal Madrid

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.225.5% · 4.33
2.5 goals13.8% · 1.7311.3% · 2.1
3.5 goals8.7% · 2.7516.5% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X44.9%
X255.1%

Match result

Sevilla3.1
Draw3.5
Real Madrid2.1

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance44.9%
Odds1.67

X2

Chance55.1%
Odds1.36

Sevilla

Chance29.7%
Odds3.1

Draw

Chance26.3%
Odds3.5

Real Madrid

Chance43.9%
Odds2.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.5

SevillaReal Madrid
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall40%60%

Sevilla vs Real Madrid: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Sun, 17 May 2026

Sevilla meet Real Madrid in the Spain, La Liga on 17 May 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Real Madrid at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Sevilla vs Real Madrid FAQs

4 questions

What time is Sevilla vs Real Madrid?

Kickoff is 18:00 on 17 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Sevilla vs Real Madrid?

Real Madrid is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Sevilla vs Real Madrid prediction, H2H and stats