Croatia vs England Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Croatia

LWLWW

Sat, 3 Oct 202617:00

0 : 7

Full time

England

WLWLD

Pre-match win probability

20%Croatia24.3%Draw55.7%England

Our prediction

Draw · Croatia

Croatia vs England listed tip from the board.

Odds3.9
Confidence55.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Croatia 20%
  • Draw 24.3%
  • England 55.7%

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · highlighted side is stronger

CroatiaEngland

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20% · 1.185.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.3% · 1.6510.7% · 2.2
3.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X36.5%
X263.5%

Match result

Croatia4.75
Draw3.9
England1.7

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance36.5%
Odds2.05

X2

Chance63.5%
Odds1.18

Croatia

Chance20%
Odds4.75

Draw

Chance24.3%
Odds3.9

England

Chance55.7%
Odds1.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.9

CroatiaEngland
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall26%74%

Croatia vs England: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Sat, 3 Oct 2026

Croatia meet England in the World, UEFA Nations League on 3 October 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–7.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is England at 1.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 55.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Croatia vs England FAQs

4 questions

What time is Croatia vs England?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 3 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Croatia vs England?

England is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 55.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.65 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Croatia vs England prediction, H2H and stats