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Finland vs Albania Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Nations LeagueSat, 3 Oct 2026

Finland

DWLLD

Sat, 3 Oct 202614:00

2 : 1

Full time

Albania

WWLLL

Pre-match win probability

40.6%Finland31.1%Draw28.3%Albania

Our prediction

Draw · Finland

Finland vs Albania listed tip from the board.

Odds3
Confidence40.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Finland 40.6%
  • Draw 31.1%
  • Albania 28.3%

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · highlighted side is stronger

FinlandAlbania

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21% · 1.113.9% · 6
1.5 goals15.2% · 1.539.8% · 2.38
2.5 goals8.9% · 2.6216.2% · 1.44
3.5 goals4.7% · 520.4% · 1.14

Both teams to score

Yes42.4%
No57.6%

Double chance

1X54.1%
X245.9%

Match result

Finland2.3
Draw3
Albania3.3

Both teams to score

Yes42.4% · 2.2
No57.6% · 1.62

1X

Chance54.1%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance45.9%
Odds1.57

Finland

Chance40.6%
Odds2.3

Draw

Chance31.1%
Odds3

Albania

Chance28.3%
Odds3.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3

FinlandAlbania
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall59%41%

Finland vs Albania: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Sat, 3 Oct 2026

Finland meet Albania in the World, UEFA Nations League on 3 October 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Finland at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.44, about 64.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Finland vs Albania FAQs

4 questions

What time is Finland vs Albania?

Kickoff is 14:00 on 3 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Finland vs Albania?

Finland is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.62 and under 2.5 is 1.44.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Finland vs Albania prediction, H2H and stats