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Iceland vs Bulgaria Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Nations LeagueSat, 3 Oct 2026

Iceland

WDLLD

Sat, 3 Oct 202617:00

3 : 0

Full time

Bulgaria

DLDLW

Pre-match win probability

64.9%Iceland21.7%Draw13.4%Bulgaria

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Iceland

Iceland vs Bulgaria listed tip from the board.

Odds1.1
Confidence64.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Iceland 64.9%
  • Draw 21.7%
  • Bulgaria 13.4%

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · highlighted side is stronger

IcelandBulgaria

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.042.6% · 9
1.5 goals18.7% · 1.256.2% · 3.75
2.5 goals13% · 1.811.7% · 2
3.5 goals8.5% · 2.7516.7% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes46.4%
No53.6%

Double chance

1X70.4%
X229.6%

Match result

Iceland1.45
Draw4.33
Bulgaria7

Both teams to score

Yes46.4% · 2
No53.6% · 1.73

1X

Chance70.4%
Odds1.1

X2

Chance29.6%
Odds2.62

Iceland

Chance64.9%
Odds1.45

Draw

Chance21.7%
Odds4.33

Bulgaria

Chance13.4%
Odds7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.1

IcelandBulgaria
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall83%17%

Iceland vs Bulgaria: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Sat, 3 Oct 2026

Iceland meet Bulgaria in the World, UEFA Nations League on 3 October 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Iceland at 1.45. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 64.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Iceland vs Bulgaria FAQs

4 questions

What time is Iceland vs Bulgaria?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 3 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Iceland vs Bulgaria?

Iceland is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.45. The margin-adjusted share is about 64.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Iceland vs Bulgaria prediction, H2H and stats