Estonia vs Luxembourg Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Estonia

Sat, 3 Oct 202617:00

1 : 0

Full time

Luxembourg

Pre-match win probability

31.5%Estonia31.5%Draw37%Luxembourg

Our prediction

Luxembourg

Luxembourg is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.55
Confidence37%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Estonia 31.5%
  • Draw 31.5%
  • Luxembourg 37%

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · highlighted side is stronger

EstoniaLuxembourg

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21% · 1.113.9% · 6
1.5 goals15.2% · 1.539.8% · 2.38
2.5 goals8.9% · 2.6216.2% · 1.44
3.5 goals4.7% · 520.4% · 1.14

Both teams to score

Yes42.4%
No57.6%

Double chance

1X48.6%
X251.4%

Match result

Estonia3
Draw3
Luxembourg2.55

Both teams to score

Yes42.4% · 2.2
No57.6% · 1.62

1X

Chance48.6%
Odds1.44

X2

Chance51.4%
Odds1.36

Estonia

Chance31.5%
Odds3

Draw

Chance31.5%
Odds3

Luxembourg

Chance37%
Odds2.55

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Luxembourg at 2.55

EstoniaLuxembourg
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall46%54%

Estonia vs Luxembourg: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Sat, 3 Oct 2026

Estonia meet Luxembourg in the World, UEFA Nations League on 3 October 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Luxembourg at 2.55. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.44, about 64.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Estonia vs Luxembourg FAQs

4 questions

What time is Estonia vs Luxembourg?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 3 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Estonia vs Luxembourg?

Luxembourg is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.55. The margin-adjusted share is about 37%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.62 and under 2.5 is 1.44.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Estonia vs Luxembourg prediction, H2H and stats